Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas St.
Sun Belt
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#174
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#170
Pace56.7#346
Improvement+2.9#59

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#211
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#205
Layup/Dunks+1.6#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#222
Freethrows-2.2#302
Improvement+1.7#86

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#130
First Shot+0.7#144
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#123
Layups/Dunks-0.5#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#133
Freethrows-1.1#243
Improvement+1.2#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 271   Florida Atlantic W 61-57 73%     1 - 0 -2.7 -10.6 +8.1
  Nov 13, 2016 264   @ Hawaii L 68-74 62%     1 - 1 -9.5 -0.2 -9.6
  Nov 14, 2016 313   SIU Edwardsville W 86-58 82%     2 - 1 +17.8 +14.6 +4.8
  Nov 21, 2016 207   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-73 69%     2 - 2 -9.5 -3.7 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2016 257   @ Texas San Antonio L 48-63 60%     2 - 3 -18.0 -16.0 -4.1
  Nov 29, 2016 319   McNeese St. W 80-68 88%     3 - 3 -1.1 -1.0 -0.5
  Dec 07, 2016 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 61-72 75%     3 - 4 -18.3 -12.6 -6.5
  Dec 10, 2016 321   Prairie View W 64-57 88%     4 - 4 -6.3 -5.7 +0.4
  Dec 17, 2016 126   @ Tulsa L 59-74 32%     4 - 5 -10.5 -10.3 -0.3
  Dec 23, 2016 223   @ Tulane W 69-66 OT 54%     5 - 5 +1.7 +0.5 +1.4
  Dec 31, 2016 272   Appalachian St. W 67-58 80%     6 - 5 1 - 0 -0.3 +0.3 +0.9
  Jan 02, 2017 201   Coastal Carolina L 53-60 67%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -11.8 -8.3 -5.2
  Jan 07, 2017 81   Texas Arlington W 81-73 35%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +11.6 +13.6 -1.6
  Jan 14, 2017 241   @ South Alabama L 67-72 OT 58%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -7.4 -2.7 -4.9
  Jan 16, 2017 129   @ Troy W 75-71 33%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +8.3 +12.0 -3.1
  Jan 21, 2017 151   Louisiana L 73-79 56%     8 - 8 3 - 3 -7.9 -2.8 -5.3
  Jan 23, 2017 260   Louisiana Monroe W 63-57 78%     9 - 8 4 - 3 -2.3 +2.1 -3.1
  Jan 28, 2017 201   @ Coastal Carolina W 52-50 47%     10 - 8 5 - 3 +2.3 -14.9 +17.4
  Jan 30, 2017 272   @ Appalachian St. W 68-55 65%     11 - 8 6 - 3 +8.8 +2.8 +8.0
  Feb 04, 2017 81   @ Texas Arlington L 61-76 20%     11 - 9 6 - 4 -6.3 +5.6 -15.2
  Feb 11, 2017 235   Arkansas Little Rock W 56-49 74%     12 - 9 7 - 4 -0.2 -9.0 +9.9
  Feb 13, 2017 136   Arkansas St. W 62-58 53%     13 - 9 8 - 4 +2.9 -3.2 +6.7
  Feb 18, 2017 181   @ Georgia Southern L 67-70 42%     13 - 10 8 - 5 -1.2 +7.3 -9.1
  Feb 20, 2017 128   @ Georgia St. L 51-67 32%     13 - 11 8 - 6 -11.6 -4.2 -12.1
  Feb 25, 2017 129   Troy W 63-59 52%     14 - 11 9 - 6 +3.3 +3.2 +1.1
  Feb 27, 2017 241   South Alabama W 90-64 75%     15 - 11 10 - 6 +18.6 +18.7 +1.0
  Mar 02, 2017 151   @ Louisiana L 84-94 OT 37%     15 - 12 10 - 7 -6.8 +1.3 -7.3
  Mar 04, 2017 260   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-65 61%     16 - 12 11 - 7 +1.8 +10.9 -8.2
  Mar 10, 2017 260   Louisiana Monroe W 63-51 70%     17 - 12 +6.2 -1.9 +9.8
  Mar 11, 2017 81   Texas Arlington W 83-62 27%     18 - 12 +27.2 +23.6 +6.4
  Mar 12, 2017 129   Troy L 53-59 42%     18 - 13 -4.2 -14.6 +9.6
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%